Umpqua National Forest Intel and Fire Weather Outlook
Tuesday, October 20, 2026 11:55 AM
Duty Officers
Forest Duty Officer
John Szulc
Dispatch Duty Officer
Kaleigh Johnson
North Zone Duty Officer
Luke Talcott
South Zone Duty Officer
Cory Thompson
Staffing Until Time
North Zone - Staffing Until
South Zone - Staffing Until
Current Conditions
Cottage Grove District
Updated: Oct 20, 9:53 AM
Fire Restrictions
Preparedness
National
1
NW
1
Local
1
Staffing
2
Fire Weather
ERC #
31
ERC %
83%
BI #
17
BI %
69%
10-hr FM
13%
1000-hr FM
15%
North Umpqua District
Updated: Oct 20, 9:53 AM
Fire Restrictions
Preparedness
National
1
NW
1
Local
1
Staffing
2
Fire Weather
ERC #
27
ERC %
76%
BI #
15
BI %
71%
10-hr FM
16%
1000-hr FM
15%
Diamond Lake District
Updated: Oct 20, 9:53 AM
Fire Restrictions
Preparedness
National
1
NW
1
Local
1
Staffing
2
Fire Weather
ERC #
28
ERC %
79%
BI #
18
BI %
75%
10-hr FM
16%
1000-hr FM
16%
Tiller District
Updated: Oct 20, 9:53 AM
Fire Restrictions
Preparedness
National
1
NW
1
Local
1
Staffing
2
Fire Weather
ERC #
47
ERC %
67%
BI #
27
BI %
60%
10-hr FM
16%
1000-hr FM
16%
Fire Weather Indicators
Last Day With Lightning
2026-09-27
Red Flag Warning
NO
ERC Trend
Falling
Weather Discussion
...Temperatures will trend warmer today and Wednesday
with southeast to easterly flow over the region as low pressure
moves south of the region. Wrap around moisture will bring
increasing chances for wetting rainfall east of the Cascades and
across northern California Wednesday into Thursday, along with a
slight chance of thunderstorms across northern California on
Wednesday. Dry conditions return Friday, with cooler and wetter
weather possible over the weekend.
7-Day ERC & Staffing Outlook
| Metric | Today Oct 20 | Wed Oct 21 | Thu Oct 22 | Fri Oct 23 | Sat Oct 24 | Sun Oct 25 | Mon Oct 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg ERC (all stations) | 33 | 37 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 19 | 20 |
| Decision Points | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Projected Staffing Level | SL 2 | SL 2 | SL 1 | SL 1 | SL 1 | SL 1 | SL 1 |
ERC-based Predicted Staffing Level Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 at 9:53 AM GMT-0700.
ERC & Fuel Moisture - Trend
Energy Release Component (ERC)
Fuel Moisture (10-hr solid · 1000-hr dashed)
Cottage Grove District
North Umpqua District
Diamond Lake District
Tiller District
Fire Weather Matrices
Loading fire weather matrices…
Fire Weather Forecast
NWS 4-day forecast graphics plus Hot-Dry-Windy
CPC 6–10 Day Outlook
Drought Monitor
Significant Fire Potential
