Umpqua National Forest Intel and Fire Weather Outlook

Wednesday, July 22, 2026 1:35 PM



Duty Officers
Forest Duty Officer
Jason Amis
Dispatch Duty Officer
Kaleigh Johnson
North Zone Duty Officer
Brian Smith
South Zone Duty Officer
Marissa Duarte
Staffing Until Time
North Zone - Staffing Until
South Zone - Staffing Until

Current Conditions

Cottage Grove District
⚑ Red Flag
Updated: Jul 22, 10:17 AM
High
Fire Restrictions
Public Use Level 1
as of Jun 25, 8:07 AM
IFPL IFPL 1
as of Jun 15, 6:51 AM
Preparedness
National
5
NW
5
Local
3
Staffing
4
Fire Weather
ERC #
17
ERC %
56%
BI #
BI %
44%
10-hr FM
31%
1000-hr FM
14%
North Umpqua District
⚑ Red Flag
Updated: Jul 22, 10:17 AM
High
Fire Restrictions
Public Use Level 1
as of Jun 25, 8:07 AM
IFPL IFPL 1
as of Jun 15, 6:51 AM
Preparedness
National
5
NW
5
Local
3
Staffing
4
Fire Weather
ERC #
43
ERC %
97%
BI #
24
BI %
100%
10-hr FM
11%
1000-hr FM
12%
Diamond Lake District
⚑ Red Flag
Updated: Jul 22, 10:17 AM
High
Fire Restrictions
Public Use Level 1
as of Jun 25, 8:07 AM
IFPL IFPL 1
as of Jun 15, 6:51 AM
Preparedness
National
5
NW
5
Local
3
Staffing
4
Fire Weather
ERC #
23
ERC %
69%
BI #
9
BI %
56%
10-hr FM
21%
1000-hr FM
15%
Tiller District
⚑ Red Flag
Updated: Jul 22, 10:17 AM
High
Fire Restrictions
Public Use Level 1
as of Jun 25, 8:07 AM
IFPL IFPL 1
as of Jun 15, 6:51 AM
Preparedness
National
5
NW
5
Local
3
Staffing
4
Fire Weather
ERC #
81
ERC %
96%
BI #
57
BI %
100%
10-hr FM
11%
1000-hr FM
12%
Fire Weather Indicators
Last Day With Lightning
2026-07-21
Red Flag Warning
YES
ERC Trend
Flat
Weather Discussion
...Hot today with isolated to scattered thunderstorms, especially this afternoon and evening. The focus areas will be in the Cascades, but also the foothills of eastern Douglas and Jackson Counties and over the east side in Oregon. Isolated thunderstorms could also impact the west side valleys and the Warner Mountains in NE California. Drier weather is expected Thursday into this weekend. Enhanced east side southwest to west winds are possible both afternoons and evenings Friday and Saturday. These winds could overlap with very low humidity resulting in critical fire weather conditions there.
7-Day ERC & Staffing Outlook
Metric Today Jul 22 Thu Jul 23 Fri Jul 24 Sat Jul 25 Sun Jul 26 Mon Jul 27 Tue Jul 28
Avg ERC (all stations) 41 37 37 39 40 40 39
Decision Points 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
Projected Staffing Level SL 3 SL 2 SL 2 SL 2 SL 2 SL 2 SL 2

ERC-based Predicted Staffing Level Last updated: Jul 22, 2026 at 10:17 AM GMT-0700.

ERC & Fuel Moisture - Trend
✓ Data last pushed: Jul 22, 2026 at 10:17 AM GMT-0700
Energy Release Component (ERC)
Fuel Moisture (10-hr solid · 1000-hr dashed)
Cottage Grove District
North Umpqua District
Diamond Lake District
Tiller District

Fire Weather Matrices

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Fire Weather Forecast

NWS 4-day forecast graphics plus Hot-Dry-Windy

CPC 6–10 Day Outlook

CPC 6-10 day temperature
Temperature
CPC 6-10 day precipitation
Precipitation

Drought Monitor

Oregon Drought Monitor
Oregon Drought Monitor

Significant Fire Potential

Month 1 fire potential
Month 1
Month 2 fire potential
Month 2
Month 3 fire potential
Month 3

More: NIFC Predictive Services outlooks