Umpqua National Forest Intel and Fire Weather Outlook
Monday, November 9, 2026 11:35 PM
Duty Officers
Forest Duty Officer
Fhurer Orejuela
Dispatch Duty Officer
Ken Ungerman
North Zone Duty Officer
Luke Talcott
South Zone Duty Officer
Cameron Stinchfield
Staffing Until Time
North Zone - Staffing Until
South Zone - Staffing Until
Current Conditions
Cottage Grove District
Updated: Nov 9, 10:30 AM
Fire Restrictions
Preparedness
National
1
NW
1
Local
1
Staffing
1
Fire Weather
ERC #
9
ERC %
41%
BI #
—
BI %
44%
10-hr FM
28%
1000-hr FM
18%
North Umpqua District
Updated: Nov 9, 10:30 AM
Fire Restrictions
Preparedness
National
1
NW
1
Local
1
Staffing
1
Fire Weather
ERC #
2
ERC %
25%
BI #
—
BI %
36%
10-hr FM
31%
1000-hr FM
21%
Diamond Lake District
Updated: Nov 9, 10:30 AM
Fire Restrictions
Preparedness
National
1
NW
1
Local
1
Staffing
1
Fire Weather
ERC #
9
ERC %
49%
BI #
—
BI %
46%
10-hr FM
25%
1000-hr FM
19%
Tiller District
Updated: Nov 9, 10:30 AM
Fire Restrictions
Preparedness
National
1
NW
1
Local
1
Staffing
1
Fire Weather
ERC #
—
ERC %
24%
BI #
—
BI %
30%
10-hr FM
29%
1000-hr FM
21%
Fire Weather Indicators
Last Day With Lightning
2026-09-27
Red Flag Warning
NO
ERC Trend
Flat
Weather Discussion
...Another weakening front passes through the region
today, bringing light to moderate precipitation along and west of
the Cascades and gusty southwest winds. High pressure returns
Tuesday-Thursday resulting in above normal high temperatures and
lowering humidities very similar to last week. An active pattern
is likely to resume Friday or Saturday and continue into early
next week with gusty winds and increased rain chances.
7-Day ERC & Staffing Outlook
| Metric | Today Nov 9 | Tue Nov 10 | Wed Nov 11 | Thu Nov 12 | Fri Nov 13 | Sat Nov 14 | Sun Nov 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg ERC (all stations) | 5 | 11 | 20 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 6 |
| Decision Points | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Projected Staffing Level | SL 1 | SL 1 | SL 1 | SL 1 | SL 1 | SL 1 | SL 1 |
ERC-based Predicted Staffing Level Last updated: Nov 9, 2026 at 10:30 AM GMT-0800.
ERC & Fuel Moisture - Trend
Energy Release Component (ERC)
Fuel Moisture (10-hr solid · 1000-hr dashed)
Cottage Grove District
North Umpqua District
Diamond Lake District
Tiller District
Fire Weather Matrices
Loading fire weather matrices…
Fire Weather Forecast
NWS 4-day forecast graphics plus Hot-Dry-Windy
CPC 6–10 Day Outlook
Drought Monitor
Significant Fire Potential
