Umpqua National Forest Intel and Fire Weather Outlook
Wednesday, July 22, 2026 1:35 PM
Duty Officers
Forest Duty Officer
Jason Amis
Dispatch Duty Officer
Kaleigh Johnson
North Zone Duty Officer
Brian Smith
South Zone Duty Officer
Marissa Duarte
Staffing Until Time
North Zone - Staffing Until
South Zone - Staffing Until
Current Conditions
Cottage Grove District
⚑ Red Flag
Updated: Jul 22, 10:17 AM
Fire Restrictions
Preparedness
National
5
NW
5
Local
3
Staffing
4
Fire Weather
ERC #
17
ERC %
56%
BI #
—
BI %
44%
10-hr FM
31%
1000-hr FM
14%
North Umpqua District
⚑ Red Flag
Updated: Jul 22, 10:17 AM
Fire Restrictions
Preparedness
National
5
NW
5
Local
3
Staffing
4
Fire Weather
ERC #
43
ERC %
97%
BI #
24
BI %
100%
10-hr FM
11%
1000-hr FM
12%
Diamond Lake District
⚑ Red Flag
Updated: Jul 22, 10:17 AM
Fire Restrictions
Preparedness
National
5
NW
5
Local
3
Staffing
4
Fire Weather
ERC #
23
ERC %
69%
BI #
9
BI %
56%
10-hr FM
21%
1000-hr FM
15%
Tiller District
⚑ Red Flag
Updated: Jul 22, 10:17 AM
Fire Restrictions
Preparedness
National
5
NW
5
Local
3
Staffing
4
Fire Weather
ERC #
81
ERC %
96%
BI #
57
BI %
100%
10-hr FM
11%
1000-hr FM
12%
Fire Weather Indicators
Last Day With Lightning
2026-07-21
Red Flag Warning
YES
ERC Trend
Flat
Weather Discussion
...Hot today with isolated to scattered thunderstorms,
especially this afternoon and evening. The focus areas will be in
the Cascades, but also the foothills of eastern Douglas and
Jackson Counties and over the east side in Oregon. Isolated
thunderstorms could also impact the west side valleys and the
Warner Mountains in NE California. Drier weather is expected
Thursday into this weekend. Enhanced east side southwest to west
winds are possible both afternoons and evenings Friday and
Saturday. These winds could overlap with very low humidity
resulting in critical fire weather conditions there.
7-Day ERC & Staffing Outlook
| Metric | Today Jul 22 | Thu Jul 23 | Fri Jul 24 | Sat Jul 25 | Sun Jul 26 | Mon Jul 27 | Tue Jul 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg ERC (all stations) | 41 | 37 | 37 | 39 | 40 | 40 | 39 |
| Decision Points | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Projected Staffing Level | SL 3 | SL 2 | SL 2 | SL 2 | SL 2 | SL 2 | SL 2 |
ERC-based Predicted Staffing Level Last updated: Jul 22, 2026 at 10:17 AM GMT-0700.
ERC & Fuel Moisture - Trend
Energy Release Component (ERC)
Fuel Moisture (10-hr solid · 1000-hr dashed)
Cottage Grove District
North Umpqua District
Diamond Lake District
Tiller District
Fire Weather Matrices
Loading fire weather matrices…
Fire Weather Forecast
NWS 4-day forecast graphics plus Hot-Dry-Windy





