Umpqua National Forest Intel and Fire Weather Outlook

Tuesday, September 29, 2026 11:13 AM


Duty Officers
Forest Duty Officer
Fhurer Orejuela
Dispatch Duty Officer
Chanse Pierce
North Zone Duty Officer
Tadd Niebel
South Zone Duty Officer
Cameron Stinchfield
Staffing Until Time
North Zone - Staffing Until
South Zone - Staffing Until

Current Conditions

Cottage Grove District
Updated: Sep 28, 3:42 PM
Moderate
Fire Restrictions
Public Use No Restrictions
as of Sep 11, 9:10 AM
IFPL IFPL 1
as of Jun 15, 6:51 AM
Preparedness
National
2
NW
2
Local
2
Staffing
2
Fire Weather
ERC #
22
ERC %
68%
BI #
14
BI %
60%
10-hr FM
14%
1000-hr FM
18%
North Umpqua District
Updated: Sep 28, 3:42 PM
Moderate
Fire Restrictions
Public Use No Restrictions
as of Sep 11, 9:10 AM
IFPL IFPL 1
as of Jun 15, 6:51 AM
Preparedness
National
2
NW
2
Local
2
Staffing
2
Fire Weather
ERC #
16
ERC %
57%
BI #
13
BI %
64%
10-hr FM
18%
1000-hr FM
20%
Diamond Lake District
Updated: Sep 28, 3:42 PM
Moderate
Fire Restrictions
Public Use No Restrictions
as of Sep 11, 9:10 AM
IFPL IFPL 1
as of Jun 15, 6:51 AM
Preparedness
National
2
NW
2
Local
2
Staffing
2
Fire Weather
ERC #
20
ERC %
63%
BI #
16
BI %
69%
10-hr FM
16%
1000-hr FM
19%
Tiller District
Updated: Sep 28, 3:42 PM
Moderate
Fire Restrictions
Public Use No Restrictions
as of Sep 11, 9:10 AM
IFPL IFPL 1
as of Jun 15, 6:51 AM
Preparedness
National
2
NW
2
Local
2
Staffing
2
Fire Weather
ERC #
33
ERC %
54%
BI #
31
BI %
67%
10-hr FM
19%
1000-hr FM
20%
Fire Weather Indicators
Last Day With Lightning
2026-09-27
Red Flag Warning
NO
ERC Trend
Rising
Weather Discussion
Warm daytime temperatures and dry conditions are expected through the week. Overnight recoveries will remain good to start the week, but easterly flow may bring periods of moderate recoveries to northern California peaks and ridgelines by Thursday and persist through the weekend.
7-Day ERC & Staffing Outlook
Metric Today Sep 29 Wed Sep 30 Thu Oct 1 Fri Oct 2 Sat Oct 3 Sun Oct 4 Mon Oct 5
Avg ERC (all stations) 28 23 30 30 33 37 37
Decision Points 1 0 1 1 2 2 2
Projected Staffing Level SL 1 SL 1 SL 1 SL 1 SL 2 SL 2 SL 2

ERC-based Predicted Staffing Level Last updated: Sep 28, 2026 at 3:42 PM GMT-0700.

ERC & Fuel Moisture - Trend
✓ Data last pushed: Sep 28, 2026 at 3:42 PM GMT-0700
Energy Release Component (ERC)
Fuel Moisture (10-hr solid · 1000-hr dashed)
Cottage Grove District
North Umpqua District
Diamond Lake District
Tiller District

Fire Weather Matrices

Loading fire weather matrices…

Fire Weather Forecast

NWS 4-day forecast graphics plus Hot-Dry-Windy

CPC 6–10 Day Outlook

CPC 6-10 day temperature
Temperature
CPC 6-10 day precipitation
Precipitation

Drought Monitor

Oregon Drought Monitor
Oregon Drought Monitor

Significant Fire Potential

Month 1 fire potential
Month 1
Month 2 fire potential
Month 2
Month 3 fire potential
Month 3

More: NIFC Predictive Services outlooks