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Southwest Area Fire Weather Briefing


Last Modified: May 14, 2007                       Current Date:  May 14, 2007

 

CONDITIONS PAST 24 HOURS TO CURRENT...

latest fire weather watches and warnings

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1.  Current Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches from NWS

2.  Past 24 Hours Total Precipitation

 3.    0500 MDT Observed Haines Index (Red & Orange indicate very dry and unstable conditions)

 

Current water vapor image

(Click either picture for a loop or larger image)

4.    Current National Water Vapor Image

       (Blue/Purple is mid/upper level moisture, dark is dry).

5.    Current Upper Level (18,000 ft MSL) Winds

                                                

 

6.    Current 1-Hour National Radar Composite Loop (hit Refresh to update)

 


southwest visible satellite

     (Click either picture for a loop or larger image)

7.    Current Southwest Visible Satellite 8.    Current Southwest U.S.  Surface Plot  (Red = Temperature, Green = Dewpoint, Wind Barbs >> 10 kts for each long flag & 5 kts for short flag.)

CURRENT CONDITIONS...

Current Dewpoint Contour Plot

9. Current Surface Dewpoints (Blue = Dry)

Current Temperature Contour Plot

10.  Current Surface Temperatures

 


FORECAST CONDITIONS (Next 24 to 48 Hours)...

 

southwest day1 weather outlook

southwest day 2 fire weather outlook

11.    Southwest Area Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

 

Day 1 - SPC National Fire Weather Outlook

12.    National Fire Weather Outlook from NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center - Large scale weather features with expected Critical Fire Weather Areas outlined in red.  (Click here for accompanying text discussion and Day 2 outlookThis is for general, broad-scale  planning and guidance purposes only and may not be entirely consistent with the more detailed information provided by the local NWS offices.


FORECAST CONDITIONS (Significant Trends Next 7+ Days)...

 

HPC 5-day total precipitation

13.    Forecast Total Rainfall Over Next 5 Days

15-day precipitation outlook and anomaly 15 day temperature outlook and anomaly

14.    15-Day Precipitation and Temperature Forecasts and Anomalies

15.    Link to latest 7-Day Significant Fire Potential Outlook from Southwest Area Predictive Services


LONG TERM OUTLOOKS AND MISCELLANEOUS...

Southwest seasonal fire potential outlook updated May 14, 2007

16.    Southwest Predictive Services - Areal Depiction of Fire Season Potential

Observed AZ ERC curve

southwest erc curve

17.    Southwest Predictive Services -  Observed seasonal ERC curves for Arizona and New Mexico (updated Tue. & Fri.)

 

sw monsoon image

18.    Median "Monsoon" Start Dates Based on Minimum RH Not < 20 % for More Than 2 Consecutive Days.  This likely reflects a significant season slowing event, affecting the severity of fire behavior on existing fires and the potential for new project fires.