SOUTHWEST AREA WEATHER BRIEFING PAGE

CONDITIONS PAST 24 HOURS TO CURRENT...

1.  Current Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches from NWS

latest fire weather watches and warnings

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2.  Observed Precipitation - Past Day (top image) and Past Week (bottom image)

Observed precipitation over the past week

 

3. 0500 MDT Observed Haines Index(Red and Orange indicate very dry and unstable conditions)

Observed Haines Index Image CONUS

 

4. Current National Water Vapor Image (Blue/purple = moist, dark = dry) - Click for Loop

Current water vapor image

 

5. Current Upper Level (18,000 ft MSL) Winds - Click for larger Image

 

6. Current 1-Hour National Radar Composite Loop (hit Refresh to update)

 

7. Current Southwest Visible Satellite - (Click for Animation)

southwest visible satellite

 

8. Current Southwest US Surface Plot (Red=Temp, Green-Dewpoint, Winds are towards stations, 10kts lg. flag/5 kts for small)



CURRENT CONDITIONS...

 

9. Current Surface Dewpoints (Blue = Dry)

Current Dewpoint Contour Plot

10.  Current Surface Temperatures

Current Temperature Contour Plot

 


FORECAST CONDITIONS (Next 24 to 48 Hours)...

 

11.    Southwest Area Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

southwest day1 weather outlook

southwest day 2 fire weather outlook

Day 1 - SPC National Fire Weather Outlook

12.    National Fire Weather Outlook from NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center - Large scale weather features with expected Critical Fire Weather Areas outlined in red.  (Click here for accompanying text discussion and Day 2 outlookThis is for general, broad-scale  planning and guidance purposes only and may not be entirely consistent with the more detailed information provided by the local NWS offices.

 


FORECAST CONDITIONS (Significant Trends Next 7+ Days)...

 

13.    Forecast Total Rainfall Over Next 5 Days

HPC 5-day total precipitation

14.    15-Day Precipitation and Temperature Forecasts and Anomalies

15-day precipitation outlook and anomaly15 day temperature outlook and anomaly

 

15.    Latest 7-Day Significant Fire Potential Outlook from Southwest Area Predictive Services

 


LONG TERM OUTLOOKS AND MISCELLANEOUS...

 

16.    Southwest Predictive Services - Areal Depiction of Monthly Forecast Significant Fire Potential

SW Monthly fire potential outlook

 

17.    Southwest Predictive Services -  Seasonal Observed ERC Curve

SW 12-station ERC

 

18.    Median "Monsoon" Start Dates Based on Minimum RH Not < 20 % for More Than 2 Consecutive Days.  This likely reflects a significant season slowing event, affecting the severity of fire behavior on existing fires and the potential for new project fires.
Southwest Monsoon Onset Map