About These Products: Main Title3
Jun 1-7
7 Day ERC/IC Projections Predictive Service Area Ytd Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Historical
Jun 04 Jun 05 Jun 06 Jun 07 Jun 08 Jun 09 Jun 10 Jun 11 Ave 97% Max
Daily maximum ERCs and ICs at each key RAWS station are averaged for each PSA for each calendar day.  This data is averaged for each week of each fire season (June through Oct.) of the historical record (past 5-15 years).  The historical data in light blue represents the "per PSA-per week" results over the period of record, with the max weekly PSA ERC and IC on record in the far right column for a historical perspective.
North Coast 9 11 13 13 14 15 15 18 15 30 32
Mid Coast to Mendocino 38 39 41 42 44 46 48 51 30 60 62
Bay Area 21 25 29 29 34 38 40 41 38 74 78
Northwestern Mountains 19 23 27 27 31 33 36 39 34 64 71
Sacramento Valley/Foothills 55 52 52 52 53 56 57 59 42 71 75
Northeastern CA 28 29 33 31 34 36 38 42 42 73 77
Northern Sierra 27 29 34 33 37 42 45 47 35 69 70
East Side 40 44 48 47 50 52 55 58 48 77 79
                         
 
Main Title4
The projected daily PSA max ERC and max IC values are compared with the historical weekly data, and the daily projection boxes are color-coded according to the following:
Jun 1-7
Predictive Service Area Ytd Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Historical
Jun 04 Jun 05 Jun 06 Jun 07 Jun 08 Jun 09 Jun 10 Jun 11 Ave 97% Max
North Coast 0 11 17 17 20 21 21 25 13 38 40
Mid Coast to Mendocino 16 26 37 34 39 42 45 48 23 44 50
Below average (BLUE)
Bay Area 0 9 16 12 22 26 29 28 20 42 47
Northwestern Mountains 4 20 31 27 34 35 38 41 26 52 67
Average or above but less than the 97th percentile (YELLOW)
Sacramento Valley/Foothills 15 21 29 29 36 40 40 40 30 62 86
Northeastern CA 1 10 22 20 33 33 33 37 26 62 73
Northern Sierra 1 9 21 19 26 33 33 33 19 37 39
97th percentile or above (RED)
East Side 2 16 25 24 37 39 38 43 31 65 72
                                 
                                           
                                           
                                           
                                                                                                                                                                         
7 Day F100 Projections
Main Title5
The same calculations were made for the daily minimum PSA relative humidity as above.  However…
Jun 1-7
Predictive Service Area Ytd Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Historical
Jun 04 Jun 05 Jun 06 Jun 07 Jun 08 Jun 09 Jun 10 Jun 11 Ave 97% Min
BLUE represents projections above the historical weekly PSA average
North Coast 20 21 21 22 23 22 22 21 18 11 10
Mid Coast to Mendocino 10 13 13 13 13 13 12 11 14 9 8
Bay Area 15 16 16 17 16 15 14 13 13 6 6
YELLOW - equal or drier than the historical average, but not as dry as the historical 97th percentile
Northwestern Mountains 15 16 16 16 15 15 14 13 13 7 7
Sacramento Valley/Foothills 9 12 13 13 13 12 11 10 11 6 6
Northeastern CA 13 16 16 16 15 14 14 12 12 6 5
Northern Sierra 13 16 15 15 14 13 11 10 13 7 6
RED - as dry or drier than the historical 97th percentile
East Side 9 11 11 11 11 10 10 9 11 6 5
                                       
                                           
                                           
                                           
                                             
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