PIKE PIKE FORECAST   1 2 3 4 5 6 7
FORECAST 10/29/2026 10/30/2026 10/31/2026 11/1/2026 11/2/2026 11/3/2026 11/4/2026   ERC BI IC   IC ERC BI SC # # # ERC 3.2 3.2 3 2.875 2.375 1.7272727 1.6363636
MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD 1 0-21 0-18 0-14 DAY 1 27.24 27 31.91 32 23.77 24 2.85 2.9 10.04 10 15.44 15.4 15.85 15.9 BI 2.625 2.375 2.125 2.625 1.9473684 1 1
BAILEY 35 60 21 55 7 38 59 29 70 8 38 59 38 73 7 37 53 55 79 7 36 42 67 82 8 33 45 53 69 7 31 45 58 73 5 DAY 2 19.88 20 31.56 32 22.01 22 2.42 2.4 10.16 10.2 14.84 14.8 15.86 15.9 IC 2.6315789 2.2631579 2 1.6 1.1333333 1 1
LAKE GEORGE 28 58 21 72 9 30 58 25 92 6 31 57 35 100 8 32 50 57 96 13 30 42 62 96 18 28 42 50 82 17 26 43 51 84 6 2 22-29 19-26 15-33 DAY 3 12.97 13 30.15 30 20.3 20 2.17 2.2 10.96 11 14.5 14.5 15.77 15.8 SL 2.9125 2.7875 2.5625 2.75 2.1611842 1.3636364 1.3181818
CHEESMAN 36 63 17 52 10 39 62 22 65 8 40 63 29 73 8 40 55 47 76 16 37 46 56 82 15 35 46 45 67 12 33 47 47 66 6 DAY 4 9.29 9 28.97 29 23.73 24 3.17 3.2 12.68 12.7 14.41 14.4 15.66 15.7 AR 2.6282895 2.3190789 2.0625 2.1125 1.5403509 1 1
POLHEMUS 36 60 18 52 9 39 60 24 67 8 39 58 34 73 8 40 53 47 73 15 34 43 62 79 15 34 42 48 69 12 32 43 49 66 7 3 30-39 27-32 34-36 DAY 5 1.54 2 25.48 25 18.23 18 2.25 2.3 13.65 13.7 14.46 14.5 15.74 15.7
AVERAGE 34 60 19 58 9 37 60 25 74 8 37 59 34 80 8 37 53 52 81 13 34 43 62 85 14 33 44 49 72 12 31 45 51 72 6 DAY 6 0 0 15.84 16 0 0 0 0 23.15 23.2 14.94 14.9 15.82 15.8 BI DISPATCH
4 40-45 33-37 37-48 DAY 7 0 0 14.32 14 0 0 0 0 25.04 25 16.52 16.5 15.82 15.8 0 LOW
FIRE DANGER 10/29/2026 10/30/2026 10/31/2026 11/1/2026 11/2/2026 11/3/2026 11/4/2026 OBSERVED 1 LOW
STAFFING LEVEL 2+ 2+ 2+ 2+ 2- 1 1 5 >45 >37 >48 IC ERC BI SC # # # 2 LOW
DISPATCH RESPONSE LEVEL MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE LOW LOW 31.81 32 31.5 32 25.47 25 3.57 3.6 10.45 10.5 16.07 16.1 15.78 15.8 3 LOW
ADJECTIVE RATING MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE LOW LOW LOW 2.265072 4 LOW
ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT 32 32 30 29 25 16 14 2026-10-28 5 LOW
BURNING INDEX 24 22 20 24 18 0 0 10/28/2026 6 LOW
IGNITION COMPONENT 27 20 13 9 2 0 0 7 LOW
SPREAD COMPONENT 2.9 2.4 2.2 3.2 2.3 0.0 0.0 8 LOW
MEAN RELATIVE HUMIDITY 39 49 57 66 73 60 62
10 HOUR 10.0 10.2 11.0 12.7 13.7 23.2 25.0 9 LOW
100 HOUR 15.4 14.8 14.5 14.4 14.5 14.9 16.5 10 LOW
1000 HOUR 15.9 15.9 15.8 15.7 15.7 15.8 15.8 11 LOW
OBSERVED ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT BURNING INDEX IGNITION COMPONENT SPREAD COMPONENT 10 HOUR 100 HOUR 1000 HOUR 12 LOW
10/28/2026 32 25 32 3.6 10.5 16.1 15.8 13 LOW
ERC BI IC 14 LOW
0 1   0 1   0 1   15 LOW
1 1.05 1 1.05 1 1.07 16 MODERATE
2 1.09 2 1.11 2 1.13 17 MODERATE
3 1.14 3 1.16 3 1.20 18 MODERATE
4 1.18 4 1.21 4 1.27 19 MODERATE
5 1.23 5 1.26 5 1.33 20 MODERATE
6 1.27 6 1.32 6 1.40 21 MODERATE
7 1.32 7 1.37 7 1.47 22 MODERATE
8 1.36 8 1.42 8 1.53 23 MODERATE
9 1.41 9 1.47 9 1.60 24 MODERATE
10 1.45 10 1.53 10 1.67 25 MODERATE
11 1.50 11 1.58 11 1.73 26 MODERATE
12 1.55 12 1.63 12 2.00 27 MODERATE
13 1.59 13 1.68 13 2.00 28 MODERATE
14 1.64 14 1.74 14 2 29 MODERATE
15 1.68 15 1.79 15 2   30 HIGH
16 1.73 16 1.84 16 2.05 31 HIGH
17 1.77 17 1.89 17 2.11 32 HIGH
18 1.82 18 1.95 18 2.16 33 HIGH
19 1.86 19 2   19 2.21 34 HIGH
20 1.91 20 2.13 20 2.26 35 HIGH
21 1.95 21 2.25 21 2.32 36 EXTREME
22 2   22 2.38 22 2.37 37 EXTREME
23 2.13 23 2.50 23 2.42 38 EXTREME
24 2.25 24 2.63 24 2.47 39 EXTREME
25 2.38 25 2.75 25 2.53 40 EXTREME
26 2.50 26 2.88 26 2.58 41 EXTREME
27 2.63 27 3   27 2.63 42 EXTREME
28 2.75 28 3.17 28 2.68 43 EXTREME
29 2.88 29 3.33 29 2.74 44 EXTREME
30 3   30 3.50 30 2.79 45 EXTREME
31 3.1 31 3.67 31 2.84 46 EXTREME
32 3.2 32 3.83 32 2.89 47 EXTREME
33 3.3 33 4   33 2.95 48 EXTREME
34 3.4 34 4.2 34 3.00   49 EXTREME
35 3.5 35 4.4 35 3.33 50 EXTREME
36 3.6 36 4.6 36 3.67 51 EXTREME
37 3.7 37 4.8 37 4.00   52 EXTREME
38 3.8 38 5   38 4.08 53 EXTREME
39 3.9 39 5 39 4.17 54 EXTREME
40 4   40 5 40 4.25 55 EXTREME
41 4.17 41 5 41 4.33 56 EXTREME
42 4.33 42 5 42 4.42 57 EXTREME
43 4.50 43 5 43 4.50 58 EXTREME
44 4.67 44 5 44 4.58 59 EXTREME
45 4.83 45 5 45 4.67 60 EXTREME
46 5   46 5 46 4.75 61 EXTREME
47 5   47 5 47 4.83 62 EXTREME
48 5   48 5 48 4.92 63 EXTREME
49 5   49 5 49 5.00   64 EXTREME
50 5   50 5 50 5.00   65 EXTREME
51 5 51 5 51 5.00   66 EXTREME
52 5 52 5 52 5.00   67 EXTREME
53 5 53 5 53 5.00   68 EXTREME
54 5 54 5 54 5.00   69 EXTREME
55 5 55 5 55 5.00   70 EXTREME
56 5 56 5 56 5.00  
57 5 57 5 57 5.00  
58 5 58 5 58 5.00  
59 5 59 5 59 5.00  
60 5 60 5 60 5
61 5 61 5 61 5
62 5 62 5 62 5
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