PIKE PIKE FORECAST   1 2 3 4 5 6 7
FORECAST 7/18/2026 7/19/2026 7/20/2026 7/21/2026 7/22/2026 7/23/2026 7/24/2026   ERC BI IC   IC ERC BI SC # # # ERC 4.8333333 5 5 5 4.3333333 3.8 3.2
MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD 1 0-21 0-18 0-14 DAY 1 42.9 43 45.13 45 31.28 31 3.65 3.7 7.56 7.6 11.88 11.9 12.37 12.4 BI 3.6666667 4.2 5 3.6666667 2.875 2.5 2.25
BAILEY 55 84 24 69 10 57 87 22 62 10 59 88 23 55 13 59 80 38 64 10 57 81 38 75 7 57 78 44 72 7 56 76 47 77 7 DAY 2 51.95 52 46.89 47 34.24 34 4.29 4.3 6.72 6.7 10.88 10.9 12.31 12.3 IC 4.5 5 5 2.7368421 2.4736842 2.1578947 2.1052632
LAKE GEORGE 47 82 26 90 9 48 85 22 86 10 50 87 22 77 14 53 80 34 77 14 51 82 31 90 9 50 80 33 90 8 50 78 36 93 8 2 22-29 19-26 15-33 DAY 3 55.09 55 48.43 48 38.47 38 5.38 5.4 6.48 6.5 10.12 10.1 11.99 12 SL 4.25 4.6 5 4.3333333 3.6041667 3.15 2.725
CHEESMAN 58 87 21 67 11 60 91 18 60 13 62 92 18 54 16 63 84 31 60 11 62 86 29 67 9 61 82 34 67 8 60 81 35 72 7 DAY 4 28.8 29 45.61 46 30.67 31 3.47 3.5 10.47 10.5 10.19 10.2 11.72 11.7 AR 4.0833333 4.6 5 3.2017544 2.6743421 2.3289474 2.1776316
POLHEMUS 59 83 22 62 11 61 87 19 58 13 63 88 19 52 16 64 79 34 59 13 62 82 31 70 9 61 78 36 72 8 60 76 40 75 8 3 30-39 27-32 34-36 DAY 5 24.11 24 41.75 42 25.67 26 2.6 2.6 13.88 13.9 10.88 10.9 11.76 11.8
AVERAGE 55 84 23 72 10 57 88 20 67 12 59 89 21 60 15 60 81 34 65 12 58 83 32 76 9 57 80 37 75 8 57 78 40 79 8 DAY 6 18.34 18 38.09 38 23.38 23 2.31 2.3 14.64 14.6 14.57 14.6 11.8 11.8 BI DISPATCH
4 40-45 33-37 37-48 DAY 7 16.71 17 31.75 32 21.31 21 2.24 2.2 15.46 15.5 19.85 19.9 12.19 12.2 0 LOW
FIRE DANGER 7/18/2026 7/19/2026 7/20/2026 7/21/2026 7/22/2026 7/23/2026 7/24/2026 OBSERVED 1 LOW
STAFFING LEVEL 4- 4+ 5 4- 3+ 3- 2+ 5 >45 >37 >48 IC ERC BI SC # # # 2 LOW
DISPATCH RESPONSE LEVEL HIGH HIGH EXTREME HIGH MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE 26.45 26 42.07 42 27.76 28 3.08 3.1 11.47 11.5 11.7 11.7 12.26 12.3 3 LOW
ADJECTIVE RATING VERY HIGH VERY HIGH EXTREME HIGH MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE 3.951786 4 LOW
ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT 45 47 48 46 42 38 32 2026-07-17 5 LOW
BURNING INDEX 31 34 38 31 26 23 21 7/17/2026 6 LOW
IGNITION COMPONENT 43 52 55 29 24 18 17 7 LOW
SPREAD COMPONENT 3.7 4.3 5.4 3.5 2.6 2.3 2.2 8 LOW
MEAN RELATIVE HUMIDITY 48 43 40 50 54 56 59
10 HOUR 7.6 6.7 6.5 10.5 13.9 14.6 15.5 9 LOW
100 HOUR 11.9 10.9 10.1 10.2 10.9 14.6 19.9 10 LOW
1000 HOUR 12.4 12.3 12.0 11.7 11.8 11.8 12.2 11 LOW
OBSERVED ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT BURNING INDEX IGNITION COMPONENT SPREAD COMPONENT 10 HOUR 100 HOUR 1000 HOUR 12 LOW
7/17/2026 42 28 26 3.1 11.5 11.7 12.3 13 LOW
ERC BI IC 14 LOW
0 1   0 1   0 1   15 LOW
1 1.05 1 1.05 1 1.07 16 MODERATE
2 1.09 2 1.11 2 1.13 17 MODERATE
3 1.14 3 1.16 3 1.20 18 MODERATE
4 1.18 4 1.21 4 1.27 19 MODERATE
5 1.23 5 1.26 5 1.33 20 MODERATE
6 1.27 6 1.32 6 1.40 21 MODERATE
7 1.32 7 1.37 7 1.47 22 MODERATE
8 1.36 8 1.42 8 1.53 23 MODERATE
9 1.41 9 1.47 9 1.60 24 MODERATE
10 1.45 10 1.53 10 1.67 25 MODERATE
11 1.50 11 1.58 11 1.73 26 MODERATE
12 1.55 12 1.63 12 2.00 27 MODERATE
13 1.59 13 1.68 13 2.00 28 MODERATE
14 1.64 14 1.74 14 2 29 MODERATE
15 1.68 15 1.79 15 2   30 HIGH
16 1.73 16 1.84 16 2.05 31 HIGH
17 1.77 17 1.89 17 2.11 32 HIGH
18 1.82 18 1.95 18 2.16 33 HIGH
19 1.86 19 2   19 2.21 34 HIGH
20 1.91 20 2.13 20 2.26 35 HIGH
21 1.95 21 2.25 21 2.32 36 EXTREME
22 2   22 2.38 22 2.37 37 EXTREME
23 2.13 23 2.50 23 2.42 38 EXTREME
24 2.25 24 2.63 24 2.47 39 EXTREME
25 2.38 25 2.75 25 2.53 40 EXTREME
26 2.50 26 2.88 26 2.58 41 EXTREME
27 2.63 27 3   27 2.63 42 EXTREME
28 2.75 28 3.17 28 2.68 43 EXTREME
29 2.88 29 3.33 29 2.74 44 EXTREME
30 3   30 3.50 30 2.79 45 EXTREME
31 3.1 31 3.67 31 2.84 46 EXTREME
32 3.2 32 3.83 32 2.89 47 EXTREME
33 3.3 33 4   33 2.95 48 EXTREME
34 3.4 34 4.2 34 3.00   49 EXTREME
35 3.5 35 4.4 35 3.33 50 EXTREME
36 3.6 36 4.6 36 3.67 51 EXTREME
37 3.7 37 4.8 37 4.00   52 EXTREME
38 3.8 38 5   38 4.08 53 EXTREME
39 3.9 39 5 39 4.17 54 EXTREME
40 4   40 5 40 4.25 55 EXTREME
41 4.17 41 5 41 4.33 56 EXTREME
42 4.33 42 5 42 4.42 57 EXTREME
43 4.50 43 5 43 4.50 58 EXTREME
44 4.67 44 5 44 4.58 59 EXTREME
45 4.83 45 5 45 4.67 60 EXTREME
46 5   46 5 46 4.75 61 EXTREME
47 5   47 5 47 4.83 62 EXTREME
48 5   48 5 48 4.92 63 EXTREME
49 5   49 5 49 5.00   64 EXTREME
50 5   50 5 50 5.00   65 EXTREME
51 5 51 5 51 5.00   66 EXTREME
52 5 52 5 52 5.00   67 EXTREME
53 5 53 5 53 5.00   68 EXTREME
54 5 54 5 54 5.00   69 EXTREME
55 5 55 5 55 5.00   70 EXTREME
56 5 56 5 56 5.00  
57 5 57 5 57 5.00  
58 5 58 5 58 5.00  
59 5 59 5 59 5.00  
60 5 60 5 60 5
61 5 61 5 61 5
62 5 62 5 62 5
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100 5