PIKE PIKE FORECAST   1 2 3 4 5 6 7
FORECAST 10/6/2026 10/7/2026 10/8/2026 10/9/2026 10/10/2026 10/11/2026 10/12/2026   ERC BI IC   IC ERC BI SC # # # ERC 3 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.2
MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD 1 0-21 0-18 0-14 DAY 1 34.64 35 29.85 30 22.22 22 2.61 2.6 8.33 8.3 14.14 14.1 17.82 17.8 BI 2.375 2.625 2.5 2.625 2.875 2.875 3
BAILEY 50 75 21 55 9 48 74 24 59 8 46 70 30 63 7 46 70 28 61 7 46 69 28 55 8 46 63 41 74 8 44 58 51 76 10 DAY 2 32.45 32 30.75 31 23.66 24 2.92 2.9 9.19 9.2 13.49 13.5 17.24 17.2 IC 3.3333333 2.8947368 2.6315789 2.6842105 2.7368421 2.2631579 2
LAKE GEORGE 42 74 21 74 7 39 71 23 82 9 38 69 26 92 8 38 67 28 93 10 38 67 26 85 13 39 61 39 93 14 39 57 47 96 19 2 22-29 19-26 15-33 DAY 3 27.16 27 31.45 31 23.02 23 2.7 2.7 9.52 9.5 13.07 13.1 16.73 16.7 SL 2.6875 2.8625 2.8 2.9625 3.1375 3.1375 3.1
CHEESMAN 51 80 16 50 7 50 77 18 56 9 48 75 22 65 9 48 73 22 66 11 48 73 21 63 14 49 67 30 66 15 47 61 39 76 22 DAY 4 27.54 28 33.03 33 24.27 24 2.92 2.9 9.41 9.4 12.75 12.8 16.25 16.3 AR 2.8541667 2.7598684 2.5657895 2.6546053 2.8059211 2.5690789 2.5
POLHEMUS 51 76 17 55 8 48 73 20 59 9 48 71 24 63 10 47 70 22 66 13 48 70 20 58 12 48 63 32 71 13 46 57 44 76 17 3 30-39 27-32 34-36 DAY 5 28.73 29 34.37 34 25.73 26 3.29 3.3 9.24 9.2 12.4 12.4 15.85 15.9
AVERAGE 49 76 19 59 8 46 74 21 64 9 45 71 26 71 9 45 70 25 72 10 45 70 24 65 12 46 64 36 76 13 44 58 45 81 17 DAY 6 19.57 20 33.64 34 26.07 26 3.4 3.4 9.49 9.5 12.22 12.2 15.53 15.5 BI DISPATCH
4 40-45 33-37 37-48 DAY 7 14.08 14 32.31 32 27.16 27 4.07 4.1 11.27 11.3 12.28 12.3 15.29 15.3 0 LOW
FIRE DANGER 10/6/2026 10/7/2026 10/8/2026 10/9/2026 10/10/2026 10/11/2026 10/12/2026 OBSERVED 1 LOW
STAFFING LEVEL 2+ 2+ 2+ 2+ 3- 3- 3- 5 >45 >37 >48 IC ERC BI SC # # # 2 LOW
DISPATCH RESPONSE LEVEL MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE 41.96 42 28 28 22.02 22 2.76 2.8 9.49 9.5 15.43 15.4 18.44 18.4 3 LOW
ADJECTIVE RATING MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE 2.955357 4 LOW
ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT 30 31 31 33 34 34 32 2026-10-05 5 LOW
BURNING INDEX 22 24 23 24 26 26 27 10/5/2026 6 LOW
IGNITION COMPONENT 35 32 27 28 29 20 14 7 LOW
SPREAD COMPONENT 2.6 2.9 2.7 2.9 3.3 3.4 4.1 8 LOW
MEAN RELATIVE HUMIDITY 39 43 48 48 45 56 63
10 HOUR 8.3 9.2 9.5 9.4 9.2 9.5 11.3 9 LOW
100 HOUR 14.1 13.5 13.1 12.8 12.4 12.2 12.3 10 LOW
1000 HOUR 17.8 17.2 16.7 16.3 15.9 15.5 15.3 11 LOW
OBSERVED ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT BURNING INDEX IGNITION COMPONENT SPREAD COMPONENT 10 HOUR 100 HOUR 1000 HOUR 12 LOW
10/5/2026 28 22 42 2.8 9.5 15.4 18.4 13 LOW
ERC BI IC 14 LOW
0 1   0 1   0 1   15 LOW
1 1.05 1 1.05 1 1.07 16 MODERATE
2 1.09 2 1.11 2 1.13 17 MODERATE
3 1.14 3 1.16 3 1.20 18 MODERATE
4 1.18 4 1.21 4 1.27 19 MODERATE
5 1.23 5 1.26 5 1.33 20 MODERATE
6 1.27 6 1.32 6 1.40 21 MODERATE
7 1.32 7 1.37 7 1.47 22 MODERATE
8 1.36 8 1.42 8 1.53 23 MODERATE
9 1.41 9 1.47 9 1.60 24 MODERATE
10 1.45 10 1.53 10 1.67 25 MODERATE
11 1.50 11 1.58 11 1.73 26 MODERATE
12 1.55 12 1.63 12 2.00 27 MODERATE
13 1.59 13 1.68 13 2.00 28 MODERATE
14 1.64 14 1.74 14 2 29 MODERATE
15 1.68 15 1.79 15 2   30 HIGH
16 1.73 16 1.84 16 2.05 31 HIGH
17 1.77 17 1.89 17 2.11 32 HIGH
18 1.82 18 1.95 18 2.16 33 HIGH
19 1.86 19 2   19 2.21 34 HIGH
20 1.91 20 2.13 20 2.26 35 HIGH
21 1.95 21 2.25 21 2.32 36 EXTREME
22 2   22 2.38 22 2.37 37 EXTREME
23 2.13 23 2.50 23 2.42 38 EXTREME
24 2.25 24 2.63 24 2.47 39 EXTREME
25 2.38 25 2.75 25 2.53 40 EXTREME
26 2.50 26 2.88 26 2.58 41 EXTREME
27 2.63 27 3   27 2.63 42 EXTREME
28 2.75 28 3.17 28 2.68 43 EXTREME
29 2.88 29 3.33 29 2.74 44 EXTREME
30 3   30 3.50 30 2.79 45 EXTREME
31 3.1 31 3.67 31 2.84 46 EXTREME
32 3.2 32 3.83 32 2.89 47 EXTREME
33 3.3 33 4   33 2.95 48 EXTREME
34 3.4 34 4.2 34 3.00   49 EXTREME
35 3.5 35 4.4 35 3.33 50 EXTREME
36 3.6 36 4.6 36 3.67 51 EXTREME
37 3.7 37 4.8 37 4.00   52 EXTREME
38 3.8 38 5   38 4.08 53 EXTREME
39 3.9 39 5 39 4.17 54 EXTREME
40 4   40 5 40 4.25 55 EXTREME
41 4.17 41 5 41 4.33 56 EXTREME
42 4.33 42 5 42 4.42 57 EXTREME
43 4.50 43 5 43 4.50 58 EXTREME
44 4.67 44 5 44 4.58 59 EXTREME
45 4.83 45 5 45 4.67 60 EXTREME
46 5   46 5 46 4.75 61 EXTREME
47 5   47 5 47 4.83 62 EXTREME
48 5   48 5 48 4.92 63 EXTREME
49 5   49 5 49 5.00   64 EXTREME
50 5   50 5 50 5.00   65 EXTREME
51 5 51 5 51 5.00   66 EXTREME
52 5 52 5 52 5.00   67 EXTREME
53 5 53 5 53 5.00   68 EXTREME
54 5 54 5 54 5.00   69 EXTREME
55 5 55 5 55 5.00   70 EXTREME
56 5 56 5 56 5.00  
57 5 57 5 57 5.00  
58 5 58 5 58 5.00  
59 5 59 5 59 5.00  
60 5 60 5 60 5
61 5 61 5 61 5
62 5 62 5 62 5
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