PIKE PIKE FORECAST   1 2 3 4 5 6 7
FORECAST 8/8/2026 8/9/2026 8/10/2026 8/11/2026 8/12/2026 8/13/2026 8/14/2026   ERC BI IC   IC ERC BI SC # # # ERC 4.6666667 4.8333333 4.6666667 4.6666667 4.3333333 3.2 2.375
MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD 1 0-21 0-18 0-14 DAY 1 67.41 67 43.52 44 32.38 32 4.06 4.1 5.54 5.5 10.88 10.9 14.1 14.1 BI 3.8333333 3.6666667 3.1666667 3.1666667 3 2.25 2
BAILEY 57 90 10 37 8 60 89 15 46 8 57 85 21 58 7 56 83 23 62 8 55 79 29 72 9 53 74 40 80 8 52 73 41 83 8 DAY 2 52.05 52 44.83 45 30.88 31 3.55 3.6 5.9 5.9 10.08 10.1 13.49 13.5 IC 5 5 4 3 2.6315789 1.6666667 1.6
LAKE GEORGE 49 90 10 52 9 52 87 13 53 8 49 84 20 74 8 49 82 22 86 7 48 80 26 89 9 48 75 35 90 8 46 74 37 100 8 2 22-29 19-26 15-33 DAY 3 36.56 37 43.71 44 28.3 28 3.01 3 9.17 9.2 9.95 10 13.04 13 SL 4.25 4.25 3.9166667 3.9166667 3.6666667 2.725 2.1875
CHEESMAN 60 93 9 36 10 61 92 11 37 9 60 89 17 53 9 59 87 19 60 9 58 84 23 64 9 56 79 30 80 9 55 78 33 84 9 DAY 4 34.1 34 43.84 44 27.69 28 2.93 2.9 10.03 10 9.98 10 12.74 12.7 AR 4.4166667 4.3333333 3.5833333 3.0833333 2.8157895 1.9583333 1.8
POLHEMUS 61 89 10 34 11 62 87 13 43 9 59 84 19 58 9 58 82 21 60 10 58 79 27 70 9 56 74 37 77 9 55 73 40 82 9 3 30-39 27-32 34-36 DAY 5 27.23 27 41.95 42 26.92 27 2.81 2.8 12.53 12.5 10.55 10.6 12.63 12.6
AVERAGE 57 91 10 40 10 59 89 13 45 9 56 86 19 61 8 56 84 21 67 9 55 81 26 74 9 53 76 36 82 9 52 75 38 87 9 DAY 6 9.78 10 32.17 32 21.39 21 2.21 2.2 18.37 18.4 13.5 13.5 12.82 12.8 BI DISPATCH
4 40-45 33-37 37-48 DAY 7 8.65 9 25.39 25 18.77 19 2.12 2.1 19.64 19.6 22.53 22.5 13.09 13.1 0 LOW
FIRE DANGER 8/8/2026 8/9/2026 8/10/2026 8/11/2026 8/12/2026 8/13/2026 8/14/2026 OBSERVED 1 LOW
STAFFING LEVEL 4- 4- 3+ 3+ 3+ 2+ 2- 5 >45 >37 >48 IC ERC BI SC # # # 2 LOW
DISPATCH RESPONSE LEVEL HIGH HIGH MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE 73.81 74 40.7 41 35.98 36 5.7 5.7 6.37 6.4 12.22 12.2 14.73 14.7 3 LOW
ADJECTIVE RATING VERY HIGH VERY HIGH HIGH HIGH MODERATE LOW LOW 3.558929 4 LOW
ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT 44 45 44 44 42 32 25 2026-08-07 5 LOW
BURNING INDEX 32 31 28 28 27 21 19 8/7/2026 6 LOW
IGNITION COMPONENT 67 52 37 34 27 10 9 7 LOW
SPREAD COMPONENT 4.1 3.6 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.2 2.1 8 LOW
MEAN RELATIVE HUMIDITY 25 29 40 44 50 59 63
10 HOUR 5.5 5.9 9.2 10.0 12.5 18.4 19.6 9 LOW
100 HOUR 10.9 10.1 10.0 10.0 10.6 13.5 22.5 10 LOW
1000 HOUR 14.1 13.5 13.0 12.7 12.6 12.8 13.1 11 LOW
OBSERVED ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT BURNING INDEX IGNITION COMPONENT SPREAD COMPONENT 10 HOUR 100 HOUR 1000 HOUR 12 LOW
8/7/2026 41 36 74 5.7 6.4 12.2 14.7 13 LOW
ERC BI IC 14 LOW
0 1   0 1   0 1   15 LOW
1 1.05 1 1.05 1 1.07 16 MODERATE
2 1.09 2 1.11 2 1.13 17 MODERATE
3 1.14 3 1.16 3 1.20 18 MODERATE
4 1.18 4 1.21 4 1.27 19 MODERATE
5 1.23 5 1.26 5 1.33 20 MODERATE
6 1.27 6 1.32 6 1.40 21 MODERATE
7 1.32 7 1.37 7 1.47 22 MODERATE
8 1.36 8 1.42 8 1.53 23 MODERATE
9 1.41 9 1.47 9 1.60 24 MODERATE
10 1.45 10 1.53 10 1.67 25 MODERATE
11 1.50 11 1.58 11 1.73 26 MODERATE
12 1.55 12 1.63 12 2.00 27 MODERATE
13 1.59 13 1.68 13 2.00 28 MODERATE
14 1.64 14 1.74 14 2 29 MODERATE
15 1.68 15 1.79 15 2   30 HIGH
16 1.73 16 1.84 16 2.05 31 HIGH
17 1.77 17 1.89 17 2.11 32 HIGH
18 1.82 18 1.95 18 2.16 33 HIGH
19 1.86 19 2   19 2.21 34 HIGH
20 1.91 20 2.13 20 2.26 35 HIGH
21 1.95 21 2.25 21 2.32 36 EXTREME
22 2   22 2.38 22 2.37 37 EXTREME
23 2.13 23 2.50 23 2.42 38 EXTREME
24 2.25 24 2.63 24 2.47 39 EXTREME
25 2.38 25 2.75 25 2.53 40 EXTREME
26 2.50 26 2.88 26 2.58 41 EXTREME
27 2.63 27 3   27 2.63 42 EXTREME
28 2.75 28 3.17 28 2.68 43 EXTREME
29 2.88 29 3.33 29 2.74 44 EXTREME
30 3   30 3.50 30 2.79 45 EXTREME
31 3.1 31 3.67 31 2.84 46 EXTREME
32 3.2 32 3.83 32 2.89 47 EXTREME
33 3.3 33 4   33 2.95 48 EXTREME
34 3.4 34 4.2 34 3.00   49 EXTREME
35 3.5 35 4.4 35 3.33 50 EXTREME
36 3.6 36 4.6 36 3.67 51 EXTREME
37 3.7 37 4.8 37 4.00   52 EXTREME
38 3.8 38 5   38 4.08 53 EXTREME
39 3.9 39 5 39 4.17 54 EXTREME
40 4   40 5 40 4.25 55 EXTREME
41 4.17 41 5 41 4.33 56 EXTREME
42 4.33 42 5 42 4.42 57 EXTREME
43 4.50 43 5 43 4.50 58 EXTREME
44 4.67 44 5 44 4.58 59 EXTREME
45 4.83 45 5 45 4.67 60 EXTREME
46 5   46 5 46 4.75 61 EXTREME
47 5   47 5 47 4.83 62 EXTREME
48 5   48 5 48 4.92 63 EXTREME
49 5   49 5 49 5.00   64 EXTREME
50 5   50 5 50 5.00   65 EXTREME
51 5 51 5 51 5.00   66 EXTREME
52 5 52 5 52 5.00   67 EXTREME
53 5 53 5 53 5.00   68 EXTREME
54 5 54 5 54 5.00   69 EXTREME
55 5 55 5 55 5.00   70 EXTREME
56 5 56 5 56 5.00  
57 5 57 5 57 5.00  
58 5 58 5 58 5.00  
59 5 59 5 59 5.00  
60 5 60 5 60 5
61 5 61 5 61 5
62 5 62 5 62 5
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