PIKE PIKE FORECAST   1 2 3 4 5 6 7
FORECAST 8/29/2026 8/30/2026 8/31/2026 9/1/2026 9/2/2026 9/3/2026 9/4/2026   ERC BI IC   IC ERC BI SC # # # ERC 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.9 4
MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD 1 0-21 0-18 0-14 DAY 1 40.79 41 35.74 36 29.27 29 4.04 4 8.81 8.8 13.13 13.1 15.19 15.2 BI 3.333333333 3.5 2.75 2.875 3.5 3.5 3.833333333
BAILEY 55 82 25 61 10 54 80 27 69 9 53 76 34 77 7 50 76 30 83 6 50 78 26 65 8 51 78 27 66 8 52 79 24 63 8 DAY 2 36.32 36 36.32 36 30.01 30 4.22 4.2 9.89 9.9 12.7 12.7 14.83 14.8 IC 4.333333333 3.666666667 2.368421053 2.736842105 4.333333333 3.666666667 4.416666667
LAKE GEORGE 47 81 22 82 13 47 78 26 89 15 47 76 31 89 11 44 74 29 100 11 43 76 24 89 14 44 77 25 89 15 45 78 22 85 15 2 22-29 19-26 15-33 DAY 3 21.56 22 35.03 35 24.57 25 2.79 2.8 11.8 11.8 12.76 12.8 14.57 14.6 SL 3.46666667 3.55 3.125 3.2375 3.65 3.7 3.91666667
CHEESMAN 58 85 21 58 14 59 83 24 60 15 56 79 28 69 10 53 78 26 80 10 53 81 21 66 14 55 82 22 64 15 55 83 20 61 15 DAY 4 29.42 29 35.83 36 25.61 26 2.99 3 10.04 10 12.95 13 14.51 14.5 AR 3.83333333 3.58333333 2.55921053 2.80592105 3.91666667 3.58333333 4.125
POLHEMUS 57 81 23 57 11 58 79 26 60 14 55 75 32 74 9 54 76 27 75 9 53 78 23 63 11 55 78 24 59 11 55 78 21 59 13 3 30-39 27-32 34-36 DAY 5 41.04 41 38.38 38 30.32 30 4.04 4 8.17 8.2 12.89 12.9 14.36 14.4
AVERAGE 54 82 23 65 12 55 80 26 70 13 53 77 31 77 9 50 76 28 85 9 50 78 24 71 12 51 79 25 70 12 52 80 22 67 13 DAY 6 36.34 36 38.71 39 29.76 30 3.88 3.9 8.49 8.5 12.33 12.3 14.12 14.1 BI DISPATCH
4 40-45 33-37 37-48 DAY 7 41.66 42 40.08 40 31.71 32 4.29 4.3 8.79 8.8 12.03 12 13.84 13.8 0 LOW
FIRE DANGER 8/29/2026 8/30/2026 8/31/2026 9/1/2026 9/2/2026 9/3/2026 9/4/2026 OBSERVED 1 LOW
STAFFING LEVEL 3- 3+ 3- 3- 3+ 3+ 3+ 5 >45 >37 >48 IC ERC BI SC # # # 2 LOW
DISPATCH RESPONSE LEVEL MODERATE HIGH MODERATE MODERATE HIGH HIGH HIGH 36.45 36 34.34 34 25.04 25 3.04 3 9.8 9.8 14.21 14.2 15.36 15.4 3 LOW
ADJECTIVE RATING HIGH HIGH MODERATE MODERATE HIGH HIGH VERY HIGH 3.52083 4 LOW
ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT 36 36 35 36 38 39 40 2026-08-28 5 LOW
BURNING INDEX 29 30 25 26 30 30 32 8/28/2026 6 LOW
IGNITION COMPONENT 41 36 22 29 41 36 42 7 LOW
SPREAD COMPONENT 4.0 4.2 2.8 3.0 4.0 3.9 4.3 8 LOW
MEAN RELATIVE HUMIDITY 44 48 54 56 47 47 44
10 HOUR 8.8 9.9 11.8 10.0 8.2 8.5 8.8 9 LOW
100 HOUR 13.1 12.7 12.8 13.0 12.9 12.3 12.0 10 LOW
1000 HOUR 15.2 14.8 14.6 14.5 14.4 14.1 13.8 11 LOW
OBSERVED ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT BURNING INDEX IGNITION COMPONENT SPREAD COMPONENT 10 HOUR 100 HOUR 1000 HOUR 12 LOW
8/28/2026 34 25 36 3.0 9.8 14.2 15.4 13 LOW
ERC BI IC 14 LOW
0 1   0 1   0 1   15 LOW
1 1.05 1 1.05 1 1.07 16 MODERATE
2 1.09 2 1.11 2 1.13 17 MODERATE
3 1.14 3 1.16 3 1.20 18 MODERATE
4 1.18 4 1.21 4 1.27 19 MODERATE
5 1.23 5 1.26 5 1.33 20 MODERATE
6 1.27 6 1.32 6 1.40 21 MODERATE
7 1.32 7 1.37 7 1.47 22 MODERATE
8 1.36 8 1.42 8 1.53 23 MODERATE
9 1.41 9 1.47 9 1.60 24 MODERATE
10 1.45 10 1.53 10 1.67 25 MODERATE
11 1.50 11 1.58 11 1.73 26 MODERATE
12 1.55 12 1.63 12 2.00 27 MODERATE
13 1.59 13 1.68 13 2.00 28 MODERATE
14 1.64 14 1.74 14 2 29 MODERATE
15 1.68 15 1.79 15 2   30 HIGH
16 1.73 16 1.84 16 2.05 31 HIGH
17 1.77 17 1.89 17 2.11 32 HIGH
18 1.82 18 1.95 18 2.16 33 HIGH
19 1.86 19 2   19 2.21 34 HIGH
20 1.91 20 2.13 20 2.26 35 HIGH
21 1.95 21 2.25 21 2.32 36 EXTREME
22 2   22 2.38 22 2.37 37 EXTREME
23 2.13 23 2.50 23 2.42 38 EXTREME
24 2.25 24 2.63 24 2.47 39 EXTREME
25 2.38 25 2.75 25 2.53 40 EXTREME
26 2.50 26 2.88 26 2.58 41 EXTREME
27 2.63 27 3   27 2.63 42 EXTREME
28 2.75 28 3.17 28 2.68 43 EXTREME
29 2.88 29 3.33 29 2.74 44 EXTREME
30 3   30 3.50 30 2.79 45 EXTREME
31 3.1 31 3.67 31 2.84 46 EXTREME
32 3.2 32 3.83 32 2.89 47 EXTREME
33 3.3 33 4   33 2.95 48 EXTREME
34 3.4 34 4.2 34 3.00   49 EXTREME
35 3.5 35 4.4 35 3.33 50 EXTREME
36 3.6 36 4.6 36 3.67 51 EXTREME
37 3.7 37 4.8 37 4.00   52 EXTREME
38 3.8 38 5   38 4.08 53 EXTREME
39 3.9 39 5 39 4.17 54 EXTREME
40 4   40 5 40 4.25 55 EXTREME
41 4.17 41 5 41 4.33 56 EXTREME
42 4.33 42 5 42 4.42 57 EXTREME
43 4.50 43 5 43 4.50 58 EXTREME
44 4.67 44 5 44 4.58 59 EXTREME
45 4.83 45 5 45 4.67 60 EXTREME
46 5   46 5 46 4.75 61 EXTREME
47 5   47 5 47 4.83 62 EXTREME
48 5   48 5 48 4.92 63 EXTREME
49 5   49 5 49 5.00   64 EXTREME
50 5   50 5 50 5.00   65 EXTREME
51 5 51 5 51 5.00   66 EXTREME
52 5 52 5 52 5.00   67 EXTREME
53 5 53 5 53 5.00   68 EXTREME
54 5 54 5 54 5.00   69 EXTREME
55 5 55 5 55 5.00   70 EXTREME
56 5 56 5 56 5.00  
57 5 57 5 57 5.00  
58 5 58 5 58 5.00  
59 5 59 5 59 5.00  
60 5 60 5 60 5
61 5 61 5 61 5
62 5 62 5 62 5
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