NORTH PIKE NORTH PIKE FORECAST   1 2 3 4 5 6 7
FORECAST 8/29/2026 8/30/2026 8/31/2026 9/1/2026 9/2/2026 9/3/2026 9/4/2026   ERC BI IC   IC ERC BI SC # # # ERC 4.166666667 4.166666667 3.857142857 4.166666667 4.5 4.666666667 4.833333333
MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD 1 0-11 0-10 0-5 DAY 1 38.2 38 37.94 38 30.09 30 4.04 4 8.84 8.8 12.72 12.7 14.32 14.3 BI 4.333333333 4.333333333 3.428571429 3.857142857 4.5 4.5 4.666666667
BAILEY 55 82 25 61 10 54 80 27 69 9 53 76 34 77 7 50 76 30 83 6 50 78 26 65 8 51 78 27 66 8 52 79 24 63 8 DAY 2 33.58 34 38.17 38 29.64 30 3.89 3.9 9.77 9.8 12.45 12.5 14.07 14.1 IC 4.4375 4.1875 3 3.916666667 4.5625 4.375 4.625
JONES HILL 51 71 28 61 13 50 70 29 74 13 49 67 37 74 9 46 66 27 77 13 46 68 25 65 14 47 68 26 68 15 47 69 22 65 16 2 12-29 11-20 6-18 DAY 3 19.21 19 36.48 36 24.06 24 2.53 2.5 12.06 12.1 12.46 12.5 13.88 13.9 SL 4.25 4.25 3.64285714 4.01190476 4.5 4.58333333 4.75
CHEESMAN 58 85 21 58 14 59 83 24 60 15 56 79 28 69 10 53 78 26 80 10 53 81 21 66 14 55 82 22 64 15 55 83 20 61 15 DAY 4 30.42 30 37.56 38 27.02 27 3.21 3.2 10.13 10.1 12.63 12.6 13.86 13.9 AR 4.38541667 4.26041667 3.21428571 3.88690476 4.53125 4.4375 4.64583333
AVERAGE 55 79 25 60 12 54 78 27 68 12 53 74 33 73 9 50 73 28 80 10 50 76 24 65 12 51 76 25 66 13 51 77 22 63 13 3 30-36 21-27 19-30 DAY 5 40.28 40 40.05 40 31.23 31 4.11 4.1 8.18 8.2 12.54 12.5 13.76 13.8
DAY 6 36.62 37 40.54 41 31.08 31 4.06 4.1 8.35 8.4 11.98 12 13.56 13.6 BI DISPATCH
FIRE DANGER 8/29/2026 8/30/2026 8/31/2026 9/1/2026 9/2/2026 9/3/2026 9/4/2026 4 37-42 28-33 31-45 DAY 7 40.5 41 41.63 42 32.48 32 4.34 4.3 8.71 8.7 11.67 11.7 13.32 13.3 0 LOW
STAFFING LEVEL 4- 4- 3+ 4- 4 4+ 4+ OBSERVED 1 LOW
DISPATCH RESPONSE LEVEL HIGH HIGH MODERATE HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH 5 >42 >33 >45 IC ERC BI SC # # # 2 LOW
ADJECTIVE RATING VERY HIGH VERY HIGH HIGH HIGH VERY HIGH VERY HIGH VERY HIGH 37.1 37 36.82 37 29.09 29 3.94 3.9 9.78 9.8 13.64 13.6 14.3 14.3 3 LOW
ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT 38 38 36 38 40 41 42 4 LOW
BURNING INDEX 30 30 24 27 31 31 32 4.28401 5 LOW
IGNITION COMPONENT 38 34 19 30 40 37 41 2026-08-28 6 LOW
SPREAD COMPONENT 4.0 3.9 2.5 3.2 4.1 4.1 4.3 8/28/2026 7 LOW
MEAN RELATIVE HUMIDITY 42 47 53 54 45 46 43
10 HOUR 8.8 9.8 12.1 10.1 8.2 8.4 8.7 8 LOW
100 HOUR 12.7 12.5 12.5 12.6 12.5 12.0 11.7 9 LOW
1000 HOUR 14.3 14.1 13.9 13.9 13.8 13.6 13.3 10 LOW
OBSERVED ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT BURNING INDEX IGNITION COMPONENT SPREAD COMPONENT 10 HOUR 100 HOUR 1000 HOUR 11 LOW
8/28/2026 37 29 37 3.9 9.8 13.6 14.3 12 LOW
ERC BI IC 13 LOW
0 1   0 1   0 1   14 LOW
1 1.08 1 1.09 1 1.17 15 LOW
2 1.17 2 1.18 2 1.33 16 MODERATE
3 1.25 3 1.27 3 1.50 17 MODERATE
4 1.33 4 1.36 4 1.67 18 MODERATE
5 1.42 5 1.45 5 1.83 19 MODERATE
6 1.50 6 1.55 6 2.00   20 MODERATE
7 1.58 7 1.64 7 2.08 21 MODERATE
8 1.67 8 1.73 8 2.15 22 MODERATE
9 1.75 9 1.82 9 2.23 23 MODERATE
10 1.83 10 1.91 10 2.31 24 MODERATE
11 1.92 11 2.00   11 2.38 25 MODERATE
12 2.00   12 2.10 12 2.46 26 HIGH
13 2.06 13 2.20 13 2.54 27 HIGH
14 2.11 14 2.30 14 2.62 28 HIGH
15 2.17 15 2.40 15 2.69 29 HIGH
16 2.22 16 2.50 16 2.77 30 HIGH
17 2.28 17 2.60 17 2.85 31 HIGH
18 2.33 18 2.70 18 2.92 32 HIGH
19 2.39 19 2.80 19 3.00   33 HIGH
20 2.44 20 2.90 20 3.08 34 EXTREME
21 2.50 21 3.00   21 3.17 35 EXTREME
22 2.56 22 3.14 22 3.25 36 EXTREME
23 2.61 23 3.29 23 3.33 37 EXTREME
24 2.67 24 3.43 24 3.42 38 EXTREME
25 2.72 25 3.57 25 3.50 39 EXTREME
26 2.78 26 3.71 26 3.58 40 EXTREME
27 2.83 27 3.86 27 3.67 41 EXTREME
28 2.89 28 4.00   28 3.75 42 EXTREME
29 2.94 29 4.17 29 3.83 43 EXTREME
30 3.00   30 4.33 30 3.92 44 EXTREME
31 3.14 31 4.50 31 4.00   45 EXTREME
32 3.29 32 4.67 32 4.06 46 EXTREME
33 3.43 33 4.83 33 4.13 47 EXTREME
34 3.57 34 5   34 4.19 48 EXTREME
35 3.71 35 5   35 4.25 49 EXTREME
36 3.86 36 5   36 4.31 50 EXTREME
37 4.00   37 5 37 4.38 51 EXTREME
38 4.17 38 5 38 4.44 52 EXTREME
39 4.33 39 5 39 4.50 53 EXTREME
40 4.50 40 5 40 4.56 54 EXTREME
41 4.67 41 5 41 4.63 55 EXTREME
42 4.83 42 5 42 4.69 56 EXTREME
43 5   43 5 43 4.75 57 EXTREME
44 5   44 5 44 4.81 58 EXTREME
45 5 45 5 45 4.88 59 EXTREME
46 5 46 5 46 5   60 EXTREME
47 5 47 5 47 5   61 EXTREME
48 5 48 5 48 5   62 EXTREME
49 5 49 5 49 5   63 EXTREME
50 5   50 5 50 5   64 EXTREME
51 5 51 5 51 5   65 EXTREME
52 5 52 5 52 5 66 EXTREME
53 5 53 5 53 5 67 EXTREME
54 5 54 5 54 5 68 EXTREME
55 5 55 5 55 5 69 EXTREME
56 5 56 5 56 5 70 EXTREME
57 5 57 5 57 5
58 5 58 5 58 5
59 5 59 5 59 5
60 5 60 5 60 5
61 5 61 5 61 5
62 5 62 5 62 5
63 5 63 5 63 5
64 5 64 5 64 5
65 5 65 5 65 5
66 5 66 5 66 5
67 5 67 5
68 5 68 5
69 5 69 5
70 5 70 5
71 5
72 5
73 5
74 5
75 5
76 5
77 5
78 5
79 5
80 5
81 5
82 5
83 5