NORTH PIKE NORTH PIKE FORECAST   1 2 3 4 5 6 7
FORECAST 12/17/2025 12/18/2025 12/19/2025 12/20/2025 12/21/2025 12/22/2025 12/23/2025   ERC BI IC   IC ERC BI SC # # # ERC 2.8125 2.5625 2.5625 2.8125 2.875 3 3.1
MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD 1 0-17 0-15 0-11 DAY 1 23.57 24 31.43 31 37.27 37 8.03 8 7.07 7.1 13.6 13.6 16.84 16.8 BI 5 3.3 3.7 4.3333333 3.7 3.9 3.6
BAILEY 34 59 24 46 29 26 46 18 42 23 39 60 15 45 23 39 53 28 44 17 35 52 32 52 11 36 56 22 50 14 34 54 18 35 9 DAY 2 20.91 21 26.69 27 23.5 24 4.73 4.7 12.47 12.5 13.48 13.5 16.76 16.8 IC 3.0625 2.8181818 3.25 3.1875 2.8181818 3.375 3.375
JONES HILL 31 47 30 50 28 25 39 20 45 26 35 50 18 44 26 37 46 30 41 24 34 45 36 47 17 33 47 25 49 16 30 46 21 37 11 2 18-33 16-20 12-22 DAY 3 27.35 27 27.28 27 27.89 28 6.05 6.1 13.96 14 13.34 13.3 16.55 16.6 SL 3.90625 2.93125 3.13125 3.5729167 3.2875 3.45 3.35
CHEESMAN 34 62 21 43 31 30 50 14 38 26 42 64 12 40 25 44 57 23 37 25 38 56 26 50 17 38 58 19 50 21 37 57 16 34 15 DAY 4 25.71 26 31.35 31 33.25 33 6.27 6.3 10.26 10.3 13.63 13.6 16.31 16.3 AR 4.03125 3.0590909 3.475 3.7604167 3.2590909 3.6375 3.4875
AVERAGE 33 56 25 46 29 27 45 17 42 25 39 58 15 43 25 40 52 27 41 22 36 51 31 50 15 36 54 22 50 17 34 52 18 35 12 3 34-43 21-30 23-38 DAY 5 21.12 21 32.06 32 27.84 28 4.06 4.1 9.24 9.2 13.67 13.7 16.11 16.1
DAY 6 29.31 29 33.76 34 30.22 30 4.7 4.7 9.26 9.3 13.08 13.1 15.95 16 BI DISPATCH
FIRE DANGER 12/17/2025 12/18/2025 12/19/2025 12/20/2025 12/21/2025 12/22/2025 12/23/2025 4 44-49 31-36 39-51 DAY 7 28.52 29 35.17 35 26.85 27 3.43 3.4 8.57 8.6 12.6 12.6 15.81 15.8 0 LOW
STAFFING LEVEL 3+ 2+ 3- 3+ 3- 3- 3- OBSERVED 1 LOW
DISPATCH RESPONSE LEVEL EXTREME MODERATE HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH 5 >49 >36 >51 IC ERC BI SC # # # 2 LOW
ADJECTIVE RATING VERY HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH 32.42 32 31.98 32 27.24 27 4.06 4.1 6.99 7 14.1 14.1 17.07 17.1 3 LOW
ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT 31 27 27 31 32 34 35 4 LOW
BURNING INDEX 37 24 28 33 28 30 27 3.375595 5 LOW
IGNITION COMPONENT 24 21 27 26 21 29 29 2025-12-16 6 LOW
SPREAD COMPONENT 8.0 4.7 6.1 6.3 4.1 4.7 3.4 12/16/2025 7 LOW
10 HOUR 7.1 12.5 14.0 10.3 9.2 9.3 8.6 8 LOW
100 HOUR 13.6 13.5 13.3 13.6 13.7 13.1 12.6 9 LOW
1000 HOUR 16.8 16.8 16.6 16.3 16.1 16.0 15.8 10 LOW
OBSERVED ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT BURNING INDEX IGNITION COMPONENT SPREAD COMPONENT 10 HOUR 100 HOUR 1000 HOUR 11 LOW
12/16/2025 32 27 32 4.1 7.0 14.1 17.1 12 LOW
ERC BI IC 13 LOW
0 1   0 1   0 1   14 LOW
1 1.0555556 1 1.0625 1 1.0833333 15 LOW
2 1.1111111 2 1.125 2 1.1666667 16 MODERATE
3 1.1666667 3 1.1875 3 1.25 17 MODERATE
4 1.2222222 4 1.25 4 1.3333333 18 MODERATE
5 1.2777778 5 1.3125 5 1.4166667 19 MODERATE
6 1.3333333 6 1.375 6 1.5 20 MODERATE
7 1.3888889 7 1.4375 7 1.5833333 21 MODERATE
8 1.4444444 8 1.5 8 1.6666667 22 MODERATE
9 1.5 9 1.5625 9 1.75 23 MODERATE
10 1.5555556 10 1.625 10 1.8333333 24 MODERATE
11 1.6111111 11 1.6875 11 1.9166667 25 HIGH
12 1.6666667 12 1.75 12 2   26 HIGH
13 1.7222222 13 1.8125 13 2.0909091 27 HIGH
14 1.7777778 14 1.875 14 2.1818182 28 HIGH
15 1.8333333 15 1.9375 15 2.2727273 29 HIGH
16 1.8888889 16 2   16 2.3636364 30 HIGH
17 1.9444444 17 2.2 17 2.4545455 31 HIGH
18 2   18 2.4 18 2.5454545 32 HIGH
19 2.0625 19 2.6 19 2.6363636 33 HIGH
20 2.125 20 2.8 20 2.7272727 34 HIGH
21 2.1875 21 3   21 2.8181818 35 HIGH
22 2.25 22 3.1 22 2.9090909 36 EXTREME
23 2.3125 23 3.2 23 3   37 EXTREME
24 2.375 24 3.3 24 3.0625 38 EXTREME
25 2.4375 25 3.4 25 3.125 39 EXTREME
26 2.5 26 3.5 26 3.1875 40 EXTREME
27 2.5625 27 3.6 27 3.25 41 EXTREME
28 2.625 28 3.7 28 3.3125 42 EXTREME
29 2.6875 29 3.8 29 3.375 43 EXTREME
30 2.75 30 3.9 30 3.4375 44 EXTREME
31 2.8125 31 4   31 3.5 45 EXTREME
32 2.875 32 4.1666667 32 3.5625 46 EXTREME
33 2.9375 33 4.3333333 33 3.625 47 EXTREME
34 3   34 4.5 34 3.6875 48 EXTREME
35 3.1 35 4.6666667 35 3.75 49 EXTREME
36 3.2 36 4.8333333 36 3.8125 50 EXTREME
37 3.3 37 5 37 3.875 51 EXTREME
38 3.4 38 5 38 3.9375 52 EXTREME
39 3.5 39 5 39 4   53 EXTREME
40 3.6 40 5 40 4.0769231 54 EXTREME
41 3.7 41 5 41 4.1538462 55 EXTREME
42 3.8 42 5 42 4.2307692 56 EXTREME
43 3.9 43 5 43 4.3076923 57 EXTREME
44 4   44 5 44 4.3846154 58 EXTREME
45 4.1666667 45 5 45 4.4615385 59 EXTREME
46 4.3333333 46 5 46 4.5384615 60 EXTREME
47 4.5 47 5 47 4.6153846 61 EXTREME
48 4.6666667 48 5 48 4.6923077 62 EXTREME
49 4.8333333 49 5 49 4.7692308 63 EXTREME
50 5   50 5 50 4.8461538 64 EXTREME
51 5 51 5 51 4.9230769 65 EXTREME
52 5 52 5 52 5 66 EXTREME
53 5 53 5 53 5 67 EXTREME
54 5 54 5 54 5 68 EXTREME
55 5 55 5 55 5 69 EXTREME
56 5 56 5 56 5 70 EXTREME
57 5 57 5 57 5
58 5 58 5 58 5
59 5 59 5 59 5
60 5 60 5 60 5
61 5 61 5 61 5
62 5 62 5 62 5
63 5 63 5 63 5
64 5 64 5 64 5
65 5 65 5 65 5
66 5 66 5 66 5
67 5 67 5
68 5 68 5
69 5 69 5
70 5 70 5
71 5
72 5
73 5
74 5
75 5
76 5
77 5
78 5
79 5
80 5
81 5
82 5
83 5