NORTH PIKE NORTH PIKE FORECAST   1 2 3 4 5 6 7
FORECAST 10/7/2025 10/8/2025 10/9/2025 10/10/2025 10/11/2025 10/12/2025 10/13/2025   ERC BI IC   IC ERC BI SC # # # ERC 2.625 3 3.1 2.9375 2.875 3 2.875
MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD MIN TEMP MAX TEMP MIN RH MAX RH WIND SPD 1 0-17 0-15 0-11 DAY 1 12.63 13 27.99 28 16.08 16 1.89 1.9 17.44 17.4 13.88 13.9 14.34 14.3 BI 2 3.8 3.3 3.1 3.7 3.7 3.4
BAILEY 33 53 59 100 8 38 70 20 89 10 42 72 24 56 7 47 67 40 68 7 49 67 43 77 14 43 63 33 68 13 37 57 38 64 10 DAY 2 34.98 35 34.07 34 29.03 29 4.23 4.2 10.57 10.6 15.89 15.9 14.29 14.3 IC 2.090909091 3.75 3.25 2.181818182 2.636363636 3.125 2.545454545
JONES HILL 33 58 22 88 10 34 62 20 66 15 38 62 27 59 9 43 56 51 73 8 43 57 49 86 15 38 53 35 76 14 32 50 33 69 11 2 18-33 16-20 12-22 DAY 3 27.41 27 35.29 35 24.42 24 2.78 2.8 8.75 8.8 14.74 14.7 14.56 14.6 SL 2.3125 3.4 3.2 3.01875 3.2875 3.35 3.1375
CHEESMAN 37 59 42 93 11 42 74 16 86 16 44 75 21 55 10 49 70 34 63 11 51 70 33 74 21 48 67 27 68 19 39 60 31 64 14 DAY 4 14.05 14 33.16 33 22.27 22 2.41 2.4 8.93 8.9 14.06 14.1 14.75 14.8 AR 2.04545455 3.775 3.275 2.64090909 3.16818182 3.4125 2.97272727
AVERAGE 34 57 41 94 10 38 69 19 80 14 41 70 24 57 9 46 64 42 68 9 48 65 42 79 17 43 61 32 71 15 36 56 34 66 12 3 34-43 21-30 23-38 DAY 5 19.26 19 32.38 32 27.91 28 4.17 4.2 12.16 12.2 13.95 14 14.78 14.8
DAY 6 24.5 25 34.25 34 28.13 28 4.05 4.1 10.8 10.8 14.14 14.1 14.69 14.7 BI DISPATCH
FIRE DANGER 10/7/2025 10/8/2025 10/9/2025 10/10/2025 10/11/2025 10/12/2025 10/13/2025 4 44-49 31-36 39-51 DAY 7 18.3 18 31.76 32 24.87 25 3.14 3.1 10.4 10.4 14.13 14.1 14.69 14.7 0 LOW
STAFFING LEVEL 2- 3- 3- 3- 3- 3- 3- OBSERVED 1 LOW
DISPATCH RESPONSE LEVEL MODERATE HIGH MODERATE MODERATE HIGH HIGH HIGH 5 >49 >36 >51 IC ERC BI SC # # # 2 LOW
ADJECTIVE RATING MODERATE HIGH HIGH MODERATE HIGH HIGH MODERATE 10.45 10 29.92 30 23.47 23 3.23 3.2 16.67 16.7 12.08 12.1 14.27 14.3 3 LOW
ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT 28 34 35 33 32 34 32 4 LOW
BURNING INDEX 16 29 24 22 28 28 25 3.10089 5 LOW
IGNITION COMPONENT 13 35 27 14 19 25 18 2025-10-06 6 LOW
SPREAD COMPONENT 1.9 4.2 2.8 2.4 4.2 4.1 3.1 10/6/2025 7 LOW
10 HOUR 17.4 10.6 8.8 8.9 12.2 10.8 10.4 8 LOW
100 HOUR 13.9 15.9 14.7 14.1 14.0 14.1 14.1 9 LOW
1000 HOUR 14.3 14.3 14.6 14.8 14.8 14.7 14.7 10 LOW
OBSERVED ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT BURNING INDEX IGNITION COMPONENT SPREAD COMPONENT 10 HOUR 100 HOUR 1000 HOUR 11 LOW
10/6/2025 30 23 10 3.2 16.7 12.1 14.3 12 LOW
ERC BI IC 13 LOW
0 1   0 1   0 1   14 LOW
1 1.055555556 1 1.0625 1 1.083333333 15 LOW
2 1.111111111 2 1.125 2 1.166666667 16 MODERATE
3 1.166666667 3 1.1875 3 1.25 17 MODERATE
4 1.222222222 4 1.25 4 1.333333333 18 MODERATE
5 1.277777778 5 1.3125 5 1.416666667 19 MODERATE
6 1.333333333 6 1.375 6 1.5 20 MODERATE
7 1.388888889 7 1.4375 7 1.583333333 21 MODERATE
8 1.444444444 8 1.5 8 1.666666667 22 MODERATE
9 1.5 9 1.5625 9 1.75 23 MODERATE
10 1.555555556 10 1.625 10 1.833333333 24 MODERATE
11 1.611111111 11 1.6875 11 1.916666667 25 HIGH
12 1.666666667 12 1.75 12 2   26 HIGH
13 1.722222222 13 1.8125 13 2.090909091 27 HIGH
14 1.777777778 14 1.875 14 2.181818182 28 HIGH
15 1.833333333 15 1.9375 15 2.272727273 29 HIGH
16 1.888888889 16 2   16 2.363636364 30 HIGH
17 1.944444444 17 2.2 17 2.454545455 31 HIGH
18 2   18 2.4 18 2.545454545 32 HIGH
19 2.0625 19 2.6 19 2.636363636 33 HIGH
20 2.125 20 2.8 20 2.727272727 34 HIGH
21 2.1875 21 3   21 2.818181818 35 HIGH
22 2.25 22 3.1 22 2.909090909 36 EXTREME
23 2.3125 23 3.2 23 3   37 EXTREME
24 2.375 24 3.3 24 3.0625 38 EXTREME
25 2.4375 25 3.4 25 3.125 39 EXTREME
26 2.5 26 3.5 26 3.1875 40 EXTREME
27 2.5625 27 3.6 27 3.25 41 EXTREME
28 2.625 28 3.7 28 3.3125 42 EXTREME
29 2.6875 29 3.8 29 3.375 43 EXTREME
30 2.75 30 3.9 30 3.4375 44 EXTREME
31 2.8125 31 4   31 3.5 45 EXTREME
32 2.875 32 4.166666667 32 3.5625 46 EXTREME
33 2.9375 33 4.333333333 33 3.625 47 EXTREME
34 3   34 4.5 34 3.6875 48 EXTREME
35 3.1 35 4.666666667 35 3.75 49 EXTREME
36 3.2 36 4.833333333 36 3.8125 50 EXTREME
37 3.3 37 5 37 3.875 51 EXTREME
38 3.4 38 5 38 3.9375 52 EXTREME
39 3.5 39 5 39 4   53 EXTREME
40 3.6 40 5 40 4.076923077 54 EXTREME
41 3.7 41 5 41 4.153846154 55 EXTREME
42 3.8 42 5 42 4.230769231 56 EXTREME
43 3.9 43 5 43 4.307692308 57 EXTREME
44 4   44 5 44 4.384615385 58 EXTREME
45 4.166666667 45 5 45 4.461538462 59 EXTREME
46 4.333333333 46 5 46 4.538461538 60 EXTREME
47 4.5 47 5 47 4.615384615 61 EXTREME
48 4.666666667 48 5 48 4.692307692 62 EXTREME
49 4.833333333 49 5 49 4.769230769 63 EXTREME
50 5   50 5 50 4.846153846 64 EXTREME
51 5 51 5 51 4.923076923 65 EXTREME
52 5 52 5 52 5 66 EXTREME
53 5 53 5 53 5 67 EXTREME
54 5 54 5 54 5 68 EXTREME
55 5 55 5 55 5 69 EXTREME
56 5 56 5 56 5 70 EXTREME
57 5 57 5 57 5
58 5 58 5 58 5
59 5 59 5 59 5
60 5 60 5 60 5
61 5 61 5 61 5
62 5 62 5 62 5
63 5 63 5 63 5
64 5 64 5 64 5
65 5 65 5 65 5
66 5 66 5 66 5
67 5 67 5
68 5 68 5
69 5 69 5
70 5 70 5
71 5
72 5
73 5
74 5
75 5
76 5
77 5
78 5
79 5
80 5
81 5
82 5
83 5