Issued:					Thursday, Jul 02, 2009																				Next Update: Mon. July 6th by 1030 MDT
																														Predictive Service Areas																			Ytd				Thu				Fri				Sat				Sun				Mon				Tue				Wed
																																																	Jul 01				Jul 02				Jul 03				Jul 04				Jul 05				Jul 06				Jul 07				Jul 08
																														SW01  Northwest AZ																			0				2				2				2				2				2				2				W
																														SW02  West-Central AZ																			3				2				2				2				2				2				W				W
																														SW03  Southwest AZ																			2				2				2				2				2				2				W				W
																														SW04  Four Corners Area																			0				2				2				2				2				2				2				2
																														SW05  Western Mogollon Rim																			2				2				1				1				1				2				1				1
																														SW06N  Central AZ/Phoenix Metro																			0				1				1				1				1				1				1				1
																														SW06S  Southeast AZ																			1				1				1				1				1				1				1				1
																														SW07   Northwest NM Mtns.																			1				2				1				1				2				2				2				2
																														SW08  White Mtns. & Gila Region																			1				1				1				1				1				1				1				1
																														SW09  South/Cntrl. NM Lowlands																			1				1				1				1				1				1				1				1
																														SW10  Sangre de Cristo Mtns.																			1				1				1				1				1				1				1				1
																														SW11  Central NM Mtns. & Plains																			1				1				1				1				1				1				1				1
																														SW12  South-Central NM Mtns.																			2				1				1				1				1				1				1				1
																														SW13  Northeast NM/NW TX																			3				3				2				2				2				1				1				1
																														SW14N  Southeast NM/West TX																			2				2				2				2				2				2				2				2
																														SW14S  Southwest TX/Big Bend																			1				1				1				1				1				1				1				1
																																																			Print Version									National Map									Product Description
																														Weather Synopsis:
																														Gradual west to east drying through the first half of next week, with breezy to windy & dry conditions developing western 1/2 of AZ.  Moisture to increase again 2nd half of next week.  Controlling feature will remain the location of the upper high center presently over northern NM that is expected to be supressed to the south by a series of Pacific storm systems of varying strength moving acoss the Great Basin.  Main moisture plume will shift from AZ today to eastern AZ/western NM on Fri. to the southeast half of NM by Sat., with substantially drier conditions across the region by Sun.  Breezy/windy and dry conditions will then develop across western AZ through about midweek as one of the west coast systems brings a seasonally strong southwest flow to the area.  Meanwhile, areas near/east of the divide will see increased low level moisture and thunderstorm potential courtesy of a weak backdoor cold front on Mon.  Dry, breezy conditions west will abate towards next weekend as high and moisture move west again.
	NOTICE:  Forecasts for the following PSA's may be unavailable or unrepresentative of actual conditions due to missing observations from the stations listed:
																														Fire Potential Discussion:
																														Low to moderate significant fire potential across western AZ to increase to moderate-high towards the middle of next week, then decrease again.  Portions of northern/western AZ that will see substantially drier and more windy conditions beyond the holiday weekend will emerge as the main areas of potential.  Focus will be on a period of windy and dry conditions next Tue.-Wed., preceded by a general warming and drying trend.  Conditions will remain elevated until moisture increases again in that area towards next weekend.
	SW04 Piney Hill Washington Pass Albino SW10 Truchas
																														Resource Discussion:
																																Within Southwest Area																															SWA Preparedness Level:																3
																														Low resource demand potential in SWA.  Dry to very dry conditions in PSA's 1,2,3,4,5,7,13 and 14N, which could draw a few additional resources (air tankers, engines, T1 crews) from other dispatch areas should an ignition or two occur.  However, overall resource demand potential will remain low through the 7-day period.
		SOUTHWEST AREA ANTICIPATED RESOURCE DEMAND INDEX **
																																From/To National																															National Preparedness Level:																1
							Anticipate low demand for resources from outside the Area																							Low demand potential for OUT-OF-AREA Resources.  Anticipate low demand for IMT's or T1 Crews from outside the Area over the next 7-Day period.  Expect low to moderate demand potential for SWA resources to other Geographic Areas.
							Anticipate low to moderate demand for resources from outside the Area
																														SWA ANTICIPATED RESOURCE DEMAND (ARD) **																							Thu				Fri				Sat				Sun				Mon				Tue				Wed
							Anticipate moderate to high demand for resources from outside the Area
																																																					Jul 02				Jul 03				Jul 04				Jul 05				Jul 06				Jul 07				Jul 08
																																This table is experimental.														T1 & 2 IMT's							1				1				1				1				1				1				1
							Anticipate high to very high demand for resources from outside the Area
																																														T1 Crews							1				1				1				1				1				1				1
			** (Experimental Index)  Indicates resource commitment versus demand for additional resources. Resources refers to T1 resources (i.e. Crews, Helo's, A/T's, IMT's).																																																		** Describing the SWA ARD Table
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