EGB Main Title
Issued: Thursday, Jul 02, 2009 Next Issuance: Monday, Jul 06, 2009
Predictive Service Areas Ytd Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Jul 01 Jul 02 Jul 03 Jul 04 Jul 05 Jul 06 Jul 07 Jul 08
EB01 - West Central ID Mtns 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
EB02 - East Central ID Mtns 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
EB03 - SW ID 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1
EB04 - South Central ID 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
EB05 - Upper Snake River Plain 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
EB06 - Western WY 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
EB07 - NW UT Deserts 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
EB08 - North Central UT Mtns 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
EB09 - NE Uinta Mtns 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
EB10 - Uintah Basin 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
Legend: EB11 - SW UT/Escalante Desert 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3
EB12 - South Central UT Mtns 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2
Fuel Dryness
EB13 - Mojave Desert 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
  Moist - Little or no risk for large fires.
  EB14 - AZ Strip 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
 
  Dry - Low risk of large fires in the absence of a "High Risk" event.   EB15 - Bookcliffs 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
 
EB16 - Southeast UT 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
  Very Dry - Low/Moderate risk of large fires in the absence of a "High Risk" event.
Weather Synopsis:
Moisture continues to spread into the Great Basin from the south and west today as the ridge slides slightly to the east. Expect showers and thunderstorms regionwide today and tomorrow, with the heaviest rain producers occurring over southern Utah today, and more widespread across southern Idaho tomorrow. Thunderstorm activity should decrease Saturday and Sunday as the ridge moves back over the area. Significant drying is on tap for the beginning of next week as a deep low pressure affects the area, pushing the moisture off to the east. Strong southwest winds will move into the region ahead of the low pressure midweek.
High Risk Days
  At least a 20% chance of "Large Fire" due to combination of either "Dry" or "Very Dry" fuel dryness and an Ignition Trigger.  High Risk Days will include a symbol indicating the type of trigger event.
  At least a 20% chance of "Large Fire" due to combination of either "Dry" or "Very Dry" fuel dryness and a Critical Burn Environment.  High Risk Days will include a symbol indicating the type of trigger event.
Fuels / Fire Potential Discussion:
High Risk Events
Fire potential is on a slow but steady increase as fuel moistures continue to drop across the south, but with higher relative humidities and precipitation this weekend, don't expect much significant fire activity. Could see single tree or small fires with increased lighting activity. The bigger threat is mid week next week when dry air moves into the region accompanied by strong southwest winds. Significant fire potential remains low across the north.
Critical Burn Environment
W Windy - Wind gusts 25mph or greater.
Ignition Trigger
~ Lightning - LALs of 3 or higher.
NOTE: Forecasts for the following PSAs may be unavailable or unrepresentative of actual conditions due to missing observations from the stations listed.
Resources:
There no shortages of resources in EGB.

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Forecaster:  Sharples 07/02/09  0910 MDT